4. Circulation in Crisis


Global long-term monsoonal maxima develop roughly every 21,000 years, driven by astronomical variations that form the subject of the next chapter. The most recent monsoonal maximum began to build up from about 11,000 years BP over North Africa, and culminated between 9,500 and 6,000 years BP. During that time, the Sahara Desert became strongly reduced in size, by encroachment of its southernmost margin towards the north. Saharan art by prehistoric man reflects the presence of diverse wildlife that included giraffe, elephant, rhinoceros, hippopotamus, antelope and ostrich, and also shows abundant humans following pastoral lifestyles.

In many places within what is today the Sahara Desert, great lakes developed, as witnessed by their characteristic sedimentary deposits and fossil shorelines. The locations of these lakes today present themselves as virtually or completely dry depressions. Impressive fossil river systems dating from the last and previous monsoonal maxima have been found hidden at shallow depth beneath the shifting sands. Several of these systems have been discovered by fieldwork, and others by shallow-penetrating radar imagery from space. Some of these rivers drained eastward into the Nile, while others flowed northward and discharged directly into the Mediterranean. The northward shift of the Sahelian vegetation boundary that determines the southern margin of the Sahara Desert reduced the modern South-North extent of the desert to half its modern dimension, or less.
Aquifers (natural groundwater reservoirs) beneath the present-day Sahara contain fossil water from the last monsoonal maximum, with stable isotopic signatures that positively identify the South Atlantic as its source region. Evaporation from that ocean rained out as it was transported over the African continent by the African monsoon. The progressive rain-out in the east-northeastward direction left a characteristic distribution pattern in the stable isotope ratios of oxygen and hydrogen that allows us to identify the transport direction and therefore the initial source region of the moisture.

The African monsoon penetrated so far to the east-northeast that it affected the Ethiopian highlands, fuelling a more vigorous seasonal flow of the Blue Nile. The White Nile drains equatorial regions, where rainfall is high even today, and we have little insight into its variations through time. In any case, the Nile River formed the main pathway by which the expanded monsoon affected the Mediterranean Sea, in particular the easternmost sector. Rough estimates suggest 3 to 4 times stronger discharge rates for the Nile than today, where ‘today’ refers to historical values before the completion of the Aswan dam. At the height of the monsoonal maximum there likely were other river systems draining the African margin, further enhancing the freshwater input into the Mediterranean Sea.

Because fresh rain and river water has low (18O depleted) oxygen isotope ratios, it causes a measurable anomaly in sea surface waters. Such freshwater influences are concentrated near  the surface because the low-density fresh water tends to float on the higher-density (salty) marine water, while gradually mixing through the surface layer by the action of wind and waves. Freshwater-induced isotope depletions are clearly reflected in the carbonate shells of planktonic foraminifera that live near the very surface. Statistically, the oxygen isotope depletion that characterises the monsoonal maximum in eastern Mediterranean sedimentary sequences gets more pronounced from West to East, suggesting a dominant impact of the enhanced Nile outflow in the east. Other major river outflows are identifiable as well, however, when individual isotope values are investigated in detail.

The increase in climatic humidity and river discharges during the monsoonal maximum was not restricted to the African margin. Isotope data from limestone cave deposits in Israel also indicate a significantly more humid climate at that time. In addition, there is convincing evidence of substantially more humid climate conditions all along the European/Near Eastern margin of the Mediterranean. Marine isotope evidence and sediment accumulation data reflect enhanced discharge from European rivers. Pollen data offers a further intriguing insight into the nature of the seasonal precipitation cycle in the northern borderlands; there was not only higher precipitation in winter, but also in summer. The Mediterranean vegetation showed an abundance of deciduous oak between about 9,500 and 6,000 years ago. This species requires moisture during its growth season, which is when the tree is in foliage, through the summer. The abundance of such oaks along the European and Near Eastern margin of the Mediterranean therefore testifies of enhanced summer precipitation. This observation is in remarkable contrast with the wet-winter and dry-summer climate of today, which is termed a Mediterranean climate.

The cause of the monsoonal intensification and its impact on precipitation over Africa is quite well understood in broad detail (next chapter), and the bulk of the moisture transported into the Mediterranean via this mechanism would have originated from somewhere else – the South Atlantic. The enhanced input of externally derived fresh water by the monsoonal intensification reduced the Mediterranean excess of evaporation over total freshwater input (‘excess evaporation’) (note 4).

Conversely, the origin of the increased humidity over the basin’s northern borderlands remains elusive, and it remains to be seen whether this moisture was not merely a recycling of Mediterranean water. There are three lines of thought on this issue. Firstly, microfossil evidence from the equatorial Atlantic suggests that enhanced oceanic heat transport occurred at this time from South to North across the equator. This observation has fuelled speculations that Atlantic depression activity may have been intensified as a consequence, which would bring external moisture into the Mediterranean region. Secondly, it has been proposed from observational evidence and computer-based climate models that the main westerlies depression track over the Atlantic – today roughly from New York to Ireland – was displaced towards the North at the European side, reaching 65-70ºN latitude. In such a configuration, a secondary depression track may develop over the northern Mediterranean margin. The result would be increased external (North Atlantic) moisture supply at least into the western Mediterranean basin, and a likely transfer of moisture from the western to the eastern Mediterranean by way of local Mediterranean depressions. These form in the Gulf of Genoa and track across Italy through the Plain of Lombardy to the North Adriatic, before continuing in an east-southeastward direction. Thirdly, the generally warmer summer conditions during the monsoonal maximum – a time when the seasonal contrast on the Northern Hemisphere was enhanced relative today (next chapter) – may have caused increased cycling of local Mediterranean-sourced moisture over the basin’s borderlands. In that case, virtually no external moisture supply would be involved, so that the net effect on excess evaporation would be negligible.

The uncertainties about the origin and distribution mechanisms of the northern moisture imply that – despite having a distinct impact on vegetation, river flow rates, and other humidity indicators – it did not neccessarily affect the Mediterranean evaporation-precipitation balance. Much research is devoted to the development of a better understanding of the origin and distribution processes of the observed humidity over the northern borderlands. Whether due to discharge from the African margin alone, or due to increased discharge from the African and European margins, however, it is safe to state that the Mediterranean excess of evaporation over total freshwater input during the apex of the monsoonal maximum was considerably lower than today. Quantitatively, the various reconstructions suggest quite a range of possible values, but all agree that there was at least a 30% reduction of excess evaporation relative to the present.

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The discussion of increased freshwater delivery into the Mediterranean in terms of a ‘reduction of excess evaporation’ may seem somewhat abstract, but in fact is crucial for a further assessment of the consequences for the Mediterranean’s density structure. First, however, we need to briefly consider the ‘background’ against which the impact of the monsoonal maximum should be evaluated. Oxygen isotope studies demonstrate that, prior to the monsoonal maximum, the Mediterranean was a salty sea with salinities equal to present-day values, or somewhat higher. Various proxies indicate that average temperatures at that time were slightly lower than today, while active intermediate and deep-water circulation ensured that the properties were well distributed throughout the basin. High salinities and low temperatures meant that the basin was filled with high-density waters.

A decrease in the excess of evaporation over freshwater input would cause a reduction in the gradient of sea surface salinities from West to East. As freshwater input progressively increased following the onset of the monsoonal maximum, therefore, the overall surface salinities were effectively lowered. The geographic position of the Nile ouflow determined that this change was especially pronounced in the easternmost sector of the basin. With decreasing salinities, stronger cooling of surface waters would have been needed to achieve sufficiently high densities for displacement of previously formed salty intermediate waters. Unfortunately, temperatures were going up, not down, so that the salt-driven first stage of the basin’s subsurface ventilation inevitably began to falter.

The first stage preconditions the second stage by supplying it with sufficient salt. Disruption of the first stage therefore spelled disaster for the functioning of the second stage of deep ventilation, which today affects the deep-sea below 600 m. Regarding the eastern Mediterranean basin, polar/continental air outbreaks from the North continued to cause strong winter cooling in the Adriatic and Aegean Seas. In other words, the thermal forcing that today identifies these regions as sites of subsurface/deep water formation remained in existence. The disruption of salty intermediate water formation, however, had removed the salinity preconditioning. As a consequence, newly forming deep waters did not achieve sufficient density to displace the resident deep waters formed before the onset of the monsoonal maximum. Instead, the newly formed subsurface waters settled above the ‘old’ deep waters.

So, in summary, what did the subsurface ventilation structure look like during the monsoonal maximum? The reduction of excess evaporation inhibited the salinity-driven formation of Levantine Intermediate Water in the Cyprus-Rhodes area. In the absence of this salt supply, new deep-water formation was only thermally driven. Because of the reduced salinity/density in newly formed deep water, this water failed to sink to great depths, and instead settled above the ‘old’ salty deep waters that it could not displace. Nowhere in the basin were high-enough densities attained to displace the salty old deep waters. As a result, the eastern Mediterranean became unventilated (‘stagnant’) from about 300/400 m depth to the bottom.

Fig. 3. Schematic circulation scenarios
Figure 3. Schematic presentation of the changes in subsurface circualtion patterns between the present day and times of sapropel formation. The three profiles presented summarise information obtained from analytical and modelling studies from North to South through the Adriatic and Aegean basins, and from West (Strait of Sicily) to East (near Cyprus) through the open eastern Mediterranean. MIW stands for Mediterranean Intermediate Water; ADW for Adriatic Deep water; AeDW for Aegean Deep water; AIW for Adriatic Intermediate Water; AeIW for Aegean intermediate Water; ODW for Old (isolated) Deep Water. Click on thumbnail for full-sized jpeg (or here for a pdf).

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As discussed in section 2.1., deep water ventilation constitutes the only means of replenishing the deep sea with oxygen, while consumption of oxygen in the deep sea is regulated by the decomposition (respiration) of organic matter. As long as productivity continues in the surface layers, there will be a steady supply of dead organic matter that sinks into the deep sea, where it is subject to respiration. The demand for deep-sea oxygen to sustain this respiration is technically known as ‘Biological Oxygen Demand’ (BOD). The disruption of deep-water ventilation below 300/400 meters in the eastern Mediterranean, therefore, imperiled the oxygenation of the deep sea.

Even with the fairly low present-day levels of production of organic matter in the surface layers of the eastern Mediterranean, there is a notable BOD in the deep sea. In fact the BOD in the Mediterranean is surprisingly high given the low rate of production, when compared with other places in the world ocean. This is thought to be due to the high deep-sea temperatures in the Mediterranean (around 13ºC), compared with those in the open ocean (typically 3ºC or less). Metabolism speeds up with increasing temperature, and a higher metabolic rate necessitates more oxygen intake by the deep-sea organisms. Following a cessation of deep ventilation, all oxygen in the Mediterranean deep sea would be consumed in roughly 500 to 1,000 years at modern BOD values.

During the monsoonal maximum, eastern Mediterranean productivity and therefore BOD in the deep sea were higher than today, shortening the time needed for depletion of all oxygen from the stagnant (unventilated) ‘old’ deep waters. Several proxies reflect the higher productivity in the basin at that time (note 5), and also identify the likely mechanism by which the productivity increase was established. Key to the discovery of this mechanism was the observation that zooplankton and phytoplankton assemblages in the eastern Mediterranean anoxic intervals, associated with monsoonal maxima, were systematically different than today.

In 1989, it was noted for the first time that planktonic foraminiferal faunas in the anoxic intervals (technically known as ‘sapropels’) commonly contain strong abundances of species that are known to prefer settings with a distinctly developed Deep Chlorophyll Maximum (DCM; see section 2.3.). The study also demonstrated that these DCM faunas prevailed on a basin-wide scale throughout the eastern Mediterranean, suggesting a fundamental change in the mode of productivity and the underlying water-column structure. The DCM hypothesis was later corroborated by a study of coccolith abundances in several sapropels, including the most recent one of 9,500 to 6,000 years BP. Further confirmation came from a study of the unusual preservation of diatom floras in a sapropel that dates from 125,000 years BP.

A deep chlorophyll maximum is a phytoplankton productivity maximum near the base of the photic layer – ie. in the ‘shade zone’ with little over 1% light penetration. To establish a DCM, a combination is needed of sufficient (if low) light intensity – from above – and a steady supply of nutrients. The facts that such conditions developed on a basin-wide scale, and consistently remained present for a few thousand years, suggest that the nutrient supply was somehow related to the subsurface nutrient reservoir (note 6). Therefore, the most likely mechanism of hydrographic change had to be identified that would make the subsurface nutrient reservoir available at the base of the photic layer (100-120 meters depth). It was proposed that changes in the density structure of the basin, due to the enhanced freshwater input, raised the top of the intermediate water from well below the base of the photic layer – as today – to a shallower depth within the photic layer.

The boundary between intermediate and surface waters today resides at about 150 meters depth in the eastern Mediterranean. There is no distinct DCM due to the fact that the subsurface nutrient reservoir – accessible in the intermediate layer – remains well below the base of the photic layer (100-120 m). The DCM hypothesis for times of sapropel formation invokes a shallowing of that boundary to roughly half its modern depth. The resultant ‘overlap’ of the subsurface nutrient reservoir with the lower photic zone throughout the basin was proposed to have sustained the DCM-indicative phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages. Simple box-model exercises in the early 1990s confirmed that this would be a likely response of the basin’s density structure to a reduction in excess evaporation. The box-models also showed that comparable responses should be expected due to major drops in sea level. This was interesting, since observations in glacial maximum intervals – when global sea level stood more than 100 meters below the present mark – had also revealed high abundances of DCM indicators.

Fig. 4. DCM
Figure 4. Difference in the depth of the surface to intermediate water interface between the present and times of sapropel deposition, relative to the depth of light penetration (base euphotic layer = 1% light intensity level). N indicates nutrients, C indicates consumption of nutrients for photosynthesis, DCM stands for Deep Chlorophyll Maximum association, and M.L. for Mixed Layer association. Click on thumbnail for full-sized jpeg (or here for a pdf).
 

In 1998, a computer-based numerical model was presented to evaluate possible modes of Mediterranean circulation during periods of sapropel deposition. A wide variety of surface salinity fields was used to cover all the different reconstructions proposed in the literature. For all fields, the numerical model predicted a single, robust, circulation pattern. This pattern was found to be in close agreement  with the observations and the previous rather qualitative interpretations.

The numerical model predicted that the formation of salty Levantine Intermediate Water (LIW) would have been disrupted during the monsoonal maximum. In the absence of the LIW’s salt supply, only thermal forcing remained in the Adriatic Sea, driving the formation of a new intermediate water mass that spread throughout the basin between about 80 and 350 meters depth. Below 350 meters a stagnating body of salty old deep water remained. Although the quoted depth range should not be taken too absolutely, it revealed an intriguing match with the DCM hypothesis: the upper limit of the new intermediate-water mass at 80 m would be well within the photic zone (note 7). The model therefore provided a strong confirmation that DCM development and ‘isolation’ of old deep water represent two distinct and verifiable responses that are intimately related to a single forcing factor – a  reorganisation in the basin’s hydrographic structure driven by a reduction of excess evaporation.

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Unventilated and suffering the enhanced biological oxygen demand caused by a basin-wide increase in productivity (and hence sinking organic matter), the old deep water below about 350 meters depth inevitably became anoxic. The complete absence of fossils of benthic organisms, and preservation of original sedimentary laminae, demonstrate that the anoxicity wiped out the deep-sea ecosystem. Organic matter sinking through the anoxic water column was not as effectively broken down as it would be under fully oxygenated conditions, and an excess of organic matter started remained preserved in the sediments. Delicate organic fossils were preserved, testifying to the less efficient degradation of organic matter in the absence of oxygen. A sapropel was being deposited.


To Chapter 5